Silver Commercial Signal Failure in Progress?

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

Since early September, will all the huffing and puffing the cartel has directed towards silver, they’ve accomplished virtually nothing other than scaring the bejesus out of all but the most informed strong hand silver investors.  All the cartel has been able to do is push silver under $34 for a few hours per raid per week.  That’s pretty much unprecedented, yet sentiment remains so despondent that few seem to even notice that the cartel is actually already showing the weakness one would expect to see at the initial stage of a commercial signal failure.

The cartel has been attacking like mad for the better part of a whole month now, ripping out not only the kitchen sink but taking much of the rest of the plumbing out of the walls and hurling it at the paper markets.  Yet even through one of the fastest additions of short interest we’ve seen throughout this entire bull market, the cartel has little to show for it’s effort.

I believe we have been witnessing the initial stage of an evolving commercial signal failure.

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Cartel At Risk of Flipping Over the Precious Metals Poker Table

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

Frequently, silver worrywarts claim the cartel can ultimately control the price of silver, and that no advance will come beyond levels the cartel deems appropriate.  This logic fails in the face of the 12 year old bull market.  More to the point, the argument fails to factor the importance the powers that be assign to keeping the rigged game going.  Sure, the cartel cheats.  It’s like they play poker with 15 extra decks of cards under the table, able to pull needed cards at will just as easily as manufacturing naked short sales.  But they sure as heck don’t want to flip the entire poker table over and end the game forever.  It’s critical that you understand this analogy.  On an incremental basis, as the cartel’s manufacture of naked shorting becomes increasingly brazen and ever more separated from the realities of the true physical market, they run the risk of flipping over the poker table.  They lose all power to control paper prices when the game is seen by all as over — when the poker table is flipped over. [Read more...]

As US Moves Towards Soviet-Style Totalitarianism, a Deep Reservoir of Latent Resistance Simmers

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

Some have compared the current path the US is headed down with the Soviet Bloc experience.  However, there are some differences. 

In the US, we’ve seen a multi-decade long process of gutting the middle class and propagandizing people to the point of turning much of the nation into a zombified state.  However, there are at least 20 million Ron Paul supporters in the US, and while not every person down to the man in that movement are entirely aware of what’s going on, compare those numbers to resistance pockets and periods of any resistance under Soviet rule you care to examine.

I contend there’s a deeper reservoir of latent resistance in the US.  It’s mostly dormant at the moment, because an insufficient number of people have yet to experience economic hardship and the destruction of the so-called “American Dream” for a long enough period of time to engender rapid social mobilization.
But that’s coming, and the powers that be damn well know it!

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Gold & Silver Climbing in NY After Consolidating Overnight- Bernanke Out of Options

No cartel raid materialized in gold and silver on the COMEX open this morning prior to today’s FOMC statement, but be prepared for the 10-10:30am EST span, as IF the Fed has plans to officially announce QE3 today, we can expect gold and silver to be pounded this morning, as occurred when QE2 was announced.

The Fed has backed itself into a corned with it’s own MOPE- anything other than official QE3 today or a specific plan detailing the amount of easing the Fed is willing to provide will result in a massive disappointment to the market.

SD contributor FW said it best last night in response to The QE Control Room open thread:

What we do know for certain is that the Fed needs to act as the buyer of last resort given insufficient market demand for Treasuries — and MBS too.  Furthermore, they have to act within months or everything croaks (with the transmission mechanism proving to be rapidly rising long-term interest rates should “real world” buying be required in the absence of QE, god forbid).  Therefore, at some point this year, they MUST launch a new pool of funds to buy the bonds, for certain, and probably MBS too.
With that as background, it really doesn’t make sense to bluff one more time.  This is it folksThe end game is now visible.  Uncle Ben knows he has to act now.  So, I think we’re going to see one of the following: [Read more...]

Friday’s Forecast: Partly Cloudy, With a 70% Chance of RAID

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

Friday may be a good day to look for an opportunity to Stack the Smack.

I’d put odds that we’ll have a silver correction Friday at 70%.  Mining equities were somewhat signaling correction during Thursday’s trade.  The RSI blasted almost to 80.  Gold was capped by the cartel today at the typical 1% up rule, which shows the scumbags are lurking around and active.  The daily trend leveled and we should look to see if there’s weakness in the overnight session in advance of the COMEX open.  Inflation trade commodities other than PMs sold off today and we may have an improvement in weather coming, which will temporarily take the heat off the ag sector. [Read more...]

Bonds Rolling Over, Silver Outperforming Gold; Have We Seen Final Top in 30 Year Bond Bull?

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

When silver outperforms gold, it’s an indication that both metals will perform strongly because the “inflation trade” has returned and given “modern” perceptions of the global monetary system, “professional” traders and investors have an easier time understanding and believing in the notion that the PM sector performs well during periods of inflation, and less so during periods of deflation, regardless of the historical record;

Keep an eye on the long end of the US bond yield curve as we may have very well seen the ultimate top of the 30+ year old bond market bull run. [Read more...]

Strap on Your Seat-Belt, Silver is About to BLAST HIGHER

Submitted by SD Contributor FW:

Silver is trading like a volcano ready to blow.  I think the sub-$26 level is history and soon, sub-$30 will be history as well.  It’s managed retreat time.

I’m sticking to my call on Aug. 8th, which I think is very conservative:  Strap on your seat-belt.  We’re about to blast higher.  By Sept. 30th, we’ll be deep into the $30s for silver and I’m in the camp that sees strong odds for new highs by the end of Feb., 2013. [Read more...]